Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.865500 0.973307 1.090794 1.228571 1.386013 1.560658 1.769531
2025-02-02 0.707724 0.855640 1.030312 1.252825 1.530196 1.866430 2.307730
2025-02-09 0.616071 0.780763 0.985752 1.261659 1.626361 2.096154 2.753954
2025-02-16 0.549213 0.723040 0.948844 1.266814 1.708066 2.306176 3.190947
2025-02-23 0.504042 0.685767 0.930749 1.289649 1.809575 2.547094 3.693510
2025-03-02 0.450431 0.630020 0.879826 1.258320 1.827218 2.666539 4.028870
2025-03-09 0.422286 0.606416 0.870312 1.283315 1.926639 2.912858 4.583276
2025-03-16 0.388164 0.570402 0.838530 1.270327 1.964604 3.066088 5.004854
2025-03-23 0.364840 0.548040 0.824436 1.281968 2.040576 3.285057 5.559841
2025-03-30 0.337498 0.516960 0.793842 1.263616 2.064373 3.418424 5.980342
2025-04-06 0.315617 0.492512 0.771321 1.255684 2.103636 3.580269 6.469838
2025-04-13 0.286739 0.454552 0.723888 1.201332 2.056517 3.583969 6.661647
2025-04-20 0.274266 0.442839 0.719193 1.220826 2.143929 3.843013 7.388130
2025-04-27 0.263299 0.432800 0.716483 1.243526 2.239542 4.128287 8.208894
2025-05-04 0.251002 0.419456 0.706843 1.252439 2.309493 4.370950 8.974131
2025-05-11 0.239177 0.406001 0.695831 1.257535 2.372061 4.605082 9.753550
2025-05-18 0.230960 0.398270 0.694322 1.280185 2.471172 4.924130 10.769006
2025-05-25 0.215769 0.376904 0.666359 1.249112 2.457806 5.005061 11.244349
2025-06-01 0.209355 0.371128 0.666780 1.273903 2.562652 5.351880 12.407165
2025-06-08 0.198554 0.356447 0.649306 1.261021 2.585780 5.519997 13.153602
2025-06-15 0.191558 0.348458 0.644026 1.272567 2.662887 5.818853 14.279633
2025-06-22 0.181572 0.334096 0.625316 1.254364 2.671815 5.959532 15.010564
2025-06-29 0.173449 0.322844 0.611989 1.246497 2.703362 6.157568 15.928942